🟢 Silver Hits a 14‑Year High

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  • Post last modified:21 July 2025

Silver recently climbed to its highest levels since September 2011 – trading around $37–$39/oz  .

Factors driving the surge:

Industrial demand—particularly for solar panels, EVs, AI and high-tech electronics  . ETF inflows—silver-backed ETPs have seen record-level demand, draining physical inventories  . Safe-haven buying amid trade tensions, especially tariffs  . Relatively undervalued silver—the gold-silver ratio has fallen from ~100:1 to mid‑80s  .

🔄 Gold vs Silver: 2025 Performance

Silver has surged ~34–43% year-to-date  . Gold climbed ~26–28% this year, reaching all-time highs near $3,500/oz  .

Comparatively, silver is outpacing gold on percentage gains, largely due to its industrial blend of demand and undervaluation  .

📊 Outlook: Will Silver Continue to Outperform?

🌞 Bullish Case for Silver

Rapid industrial growth – ongoing expansion in solar, AI, EVs supports sustained demand  . Structural supply deficit – persistent deficits for years have tightened the market  . Valuation catching up – gold-silver ratio remains high, implying potential silver upside  . Potential bullish catalysts – U.S. infrastructure spending, industrial momentum, and further ETF inflows may lift silver toward $50/oz  .

🛑 Silver’s Risks

Higher volatility – smaller market size makes prices more sensitive  . Gold dominance – central bank buying of gold remains strong; gold still preferred as a pure hedge  . Macro shifts – if economic slowdown hits industrial output, silver demand could soften  .

đź’ˇ Expert Insights

Augmont expects silver to rise 25%, versus +12% for gold in next 5–6 months  . Citi forecasts silver reaching $40–46 in 6–12 months; gold may dip to below $3,000  . FXEmpire/GSC Intelligence view silver entering a “supercycle”, potentially reaching $50 soon  . Goldman Sachs warns gold may outperform silver due to large central bank demand  . MarketWatch notes silver is undervalued; a shift in macro could trigger outperformance  . Economic Times suggests silver is a tactical, catch‑up play—not a core investment  .

📝 Will Silver Outperform Gold This Year?

Short‑to‑mid term:

Silver has been delivering stronger percentage returns than gold in 2025. With industrial momentum, supply tightness and attractive valuation, many analysts see more room to run—$40–50/oz is within reach.

Long‑term:

Gold’s position as the premier safe-haven, bolstered by central bank demand, may limit silver’s dominance. Silver also carries more volatility and industry sensitivity.

📌 Bottom Line

Tactical allocation: If you’re bullish on industrial growth, infrastructure, AI, EV and renewables, silver is a compelling overperformance candidate this year. Portfolio balance: Still, gold remains more stable and historically proven amid economic uncertainty.

A dual approach—holding both metals—may offer the best risk‑reward mix. Silver can provide upside, while gold cushions overall exposure.

🗓️ Final Note

The silver-gold dynamic could shift quickly. Keep an eye on:

Interest rate decisions Trajectory of industrial sector growth ETF inflows and silver inventory levels